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AGAK78 PACR 152356
HMDACR

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NWS ALASKA PACIFIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER ANCHORAGE AK
300 PM AKDT FRI JAN 15 2016 

...FLOOD POTENTIAL...

AN ICE JAM REMAINS ON THE ANCHOR RIVER NEAR ANCHOR POINT VILLAGE...
BUT ADDITIONAL FLOODING FROM THIS JAM IS NOT EXPECTED AT THE CURRENT
TIME.

FLOOD POTENTIAL IS CURRENTLY LOW ACROSS THE REST OF THE STATE.

...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION... 

THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN TODAY HAS A RIDGE FROM THE WEST COAST INTO
SOUTHERN SOUTHEAST... A SMALL LOW OVER THE NORTHWEST MAINLAND... AND
A LARGE LOW SOUTH OF THE WESTERN AKPEN.  SHORTWAVES ROTATING AROUND
THIS LARGE LOW WILL BRING PERIODS OF PRECIPITATION TO SOUTHEAST
ALASKA AND THE GULF COASTAL REGIONS INTO NEXT WEEK.

...SNOW PACK... 

MOST LOCATIONS REPORTED LITTLE CHANGE IN THE SNOWPACK OVER THE LAST
WEEK.

...ICE THICKNESS... 

THE MOST RECENT ICE THICKNESS MEASUREMENTS WERE TAKEN WITHIN A FEW
DAYS OF JANUARY 1 2016.  REPORTED ICE THICKNESSES IN THE FAIRBANKS
AREA RANGED FROM 11 TO 23 INCHES.  REPORTED ICE THICKNESSES IN THE
ANCHORAGE AREA RANGE BETWEEN 17 AND 18 INCHES.  ELSEWHERE AROUND THE
STATE: BETHEL REPORTED 24 INCHES... MCGRATH REPORTED 9 INCHES...
TANANA REPORTED 35 INCHES... BETTLES REPORTED 25 INCHES... EAGLE
REPORTED 18 INCHES... AND COLVILLE VILLAGE REPORTED 37 INCHES.

...LONG RANGE...

THE 6 TO 10 DAY TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED PROBABILITIES OF
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER SOUTHEAST ALASKA AND OVER THE FAR
SOUTHERN MAINLAND.
 
THE 6 TO 10 DAY PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED PROBABILITIES OF
BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER MOST OF THE MAINLAND.
 
PLEASE REFER TO THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER HOME PAGE FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION.  

....................................................................

THIS TEXT PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED ON FRIDAY THROUGH THE WINTER. A
GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THE HYDROMET DISCUSSION IS AVAILABLE AT
HTTP://APRFC.ARH.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/GHMD.PHP

A GRAPHICAL SLIDE SHOW PRESENTATION OF HYDROMET ISSUES IS AVAILABLE 
AT HTTP://APRFC.ARH.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/PRESENT
$$

ACL

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Alaska-Pacific River Forecast Center
6930 Sand Lake Road
Anchorage, Ak 99502
907-266-5160

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