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HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NWS ALASKA PACIFIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER ANCHORAGE AK
300 PM AKDT SAT MAY 28 2016 

...FLOOD POTENTIAL...

THE FLOOD POTENTIAL IS CURRENTLY LOW FOR THE STATE.

...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION... 

THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN THIS MORNING HAS A HIGH OVER MOST OF THE
MAINLAND.  THE HIGH IS CENTERED OVER THE SEWARD PENINSULA AND IS
SURROUNDED BY MULTIPLE LOWS AND WAVES... INCLUDING A LOW OVER MUCH
OF SOUTHEAST AND BRITISH COLUMBIA.  THIS LOW IS KEEPING THE CHANCE
FOR OCCASIONAL SHOWERS OVER MOST OF SOUTHEAST ALASKA. THE HIGH WILL
MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWARD THROUGH THE WEEKEND BEFORE TURNING TO THE WEST
ON MONDAY.  WEATHER UNDER THE HIGH WILL BE DRY WITH WARM
TEMPERATURES THAT WILL INCREASE THE HIGH-ELEVATION SNOW MELT...
LEADING TO RISES ON AFFECTED RIVERS.  AS THE HIGH MOVES NORTH AN
UPPER LEVEL WAVE WILL DROP SOUTH FROM THE YUKON TERRITORY AND THEN
MOVE WEST OVER THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND... BRINGING SHOWERS AND
POSSIBLY A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TO THE COPPER RIVER BASIN AND MATSU ON
SUNDAY... WITH THE SHOWERS SPREADING WESTWARD INTO MONDAY.

...PRECIPITATION...

PRECIPITATION TOTALS OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS ENDING AT 4 AM TODAY:

LOCATION NAME                 PE TS   24 HR 
======== ====                 == ==   ===== 
HADA2    HAIDA RAWS           PC RG :  0.37
SHLA2    SHELTER COVE RAWS    PC RG :  0.36
PAKW     KLAWOCK              PP RZ :  0.35
PAHY     HYDABURG             PP RZ :  0.28
PAVL     KIVALINA             PP RZ :  0.26
CRGA2    CRAIG WEATHER STN    PC RG :  0.25
PAKT     KETCHIKAN            PP RZ :  0.16
THOA2    THORNE BAY RAWS      PC RG :  0.12
AWRA2    HELMET MOUNTAIN RAWS PC RG :  0.12
SCSA2    SAWMILL CREEK        PC RG :  0.11
CIKA2    CHALKYITSIK WEST     PC RG :  0.11
SOUA2    SOULE RIVER          PC RG :  0.10

...LONG RANGE...

THE 6 TO 10 DAY TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED PROBABILITIES OF
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER THE ENTIRE STATE.
 
THE 6 TO 10 DAY PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED PROBABILITIES OF
ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER MOST OF THE STATE.
 
PLEASE REFER TO THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER HOME PAGE FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION.  

....................................................................

THIS TEXT PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED DAILY UNTIL FREEZEUP IN THE FALL. A
GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THE HYDROMET DISCUSSION IS AVAILABLE AT
HTTP://APRFC.ARH.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/GHMD.PHP

A GRAPHICAL SLIDE SHOW PRESENTATION OF HYDROMET ISSUES IS AVAILABLE 
AT HTTP://APRFC.ARH.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/PRESENT
$$

ACL

National Weather Service
Alaska-Pacific River Forecast Center
6930 Sand Lake Road
Anchorage, Ak 99502
907-266-5160

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