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StormReady Program


SRAK48 PACR 311523
ACRRVAAK
AKZALL-202300-

ALASKA SPRING BREAKUP SUMMARY
NWS ALASKA PACIFIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER ANCHORAGE AK
300 PM ADT SUN MAY 31 2009

...SPRING BREAKUP SUMMARY FOR ALASKA...

FLOOD WARNING/WATCHES:

NONE IN EFFECT AT THIS TIME


   ******NOTE THAT THIS WILL BE THE LAST SPRING BREAKUP
         SUMMARY ISSUED FOR THE 2009 BREAKUP SEASON******


*********************************************************************
*EVEN THOUGH A PARTICULAR RIVER OR REACH MAY BE DESCRIBED AS MOSTLY *
*OPEN OR OPEN... IT IS STILL POSSIBLE FOR RUNS OF ICE AND DEBRIS TO *
*MOVE THROUGH AS HEADWATERS UPSTREAM BREAKUP.  PLEASE USE CAUTION AT*
*ALL TIMES WHEN ATTEMPTING TO NAVIGATE RIVERS.                      *
*********************************************************************

RECENT BREAKUP ACTIVITY:

TANANA RIVER...
BREAKUP ON THE TANANA RIVER IS COMPLETE.

KUSKOKWIM RIVER...
BREAKUP ON THE KUSKOKWIM RIVER IS COMPLETE.

KOYUKUK RIVER...
BREAKUP ON THE KOYUKUK RIVER IS COMPLETE. 

YUKON RIVER...
THERE IS VERY LITTLE ICE LEFT IN THE YUKON RIVER.  HIGH WATER LEVELS
WILL CONTINUE ON THE LOWER YUKON RIVER  DUE TO THE EXTENSIVE OVERBANK
FLOODING THIS YEAR.  HOWEVER NO ADDITIONAL FLOODING RELATED TO
BREAKUP IS EXPECTED.

COPPER RIVER...
AS OF MAY 30 TANGLE LAKES AND PAXSON LAKE WERE ABOUT 50 PERCENT ICE
COVERED.  MEYERS LAKE WAS OPEN.

SUSITNA RIVER...
THE SUSITNA RIVER IS REPORTED TO BE OPEN.

NORTHWEST ALASKA...
BASED ON PILOT REPORTS FROM SEVERAL DAYS AGO.. THE KOBUK WAS OPEN
EXCEPT POSSIBLY THE EXTREME LOWER END AT THE MOUTH. THE SELAWIK RIVER
WAS ALL OPEN WITH A FEW LIGHT RUNS OF ICE. SELAWIK LAKE WAS RISING
AND WAS STILL COVERED WITH ROTTING ICE. A SATELLITE IMAGE ON MAY 30
SHOWS THE NORTHEAST CORNER OF SELAWIK LAKE TO BE OPEN AS WELL AS THE
NORTHWEST CORNER OF INLAND LAKE. THE SATELLITE IMAGE SHOWS THAT THE
BUCKLAND RIVER HAS CAUSED AN OPEN LEAD TO DEVELOP IN ESCHSCHOLTZ BAY.
A PILOT REPORT ON SUNDAY MAY 24 NOTES THE LOWER NOATAK RIVER WAS OPEN
WITH JUST A VERY LIGHT CHUNK ICE RUN NEAR THE MOUTH.  LITTLE
INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE UPPER NOATAK. AUFEIS DEVELOPMENT MAY
REMAIN IN SOME STREAMS DRAINING THE BROOKS RANGE.

NORTH SLOPE...
FLOW IN THE COLVILLE RIVER CRESTED AND HAS FALLEN OVER 6 FEET FROM
THE CREST. WARMER WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO CAUSE IT AND OTHER NORTH
SLOPE STREAMS TO BEGIN ANOTHER RISE DUE TO MELTING SNOW.  SATELLITE
IMAGES SHOW THAT AUFEIS DEVELOPMENT REMAINS ON SOME NORTH SLOPE
STREAMS.

THE FOLLOWING TABLE GIVES AN ESTIMATION OF FLOOD POTENTIAL FOR
VARIOUS LOCATIONS AROUND THE STATE AND BASIN RUNOFF VOLUMES.
---------------------------------------------------------------------
SNOWMELT RUNOFF VOLUME...EXPECTED WATER VOLUME FROM SNOWMELT DURING
                         THE MELT SEASON.

FLOOD POTENTIAL...THE LIKELIHOOD OF FLOODING FROM SNOWMELT AND/OR
                  ICE JAMS.

*  AVERAGE BREAKUP DATES ARE FOR THE PERIOD 1970 THROUGH 2008 AND ARE
      CALCULATED FOR LOCATIONS WITH AT LEAST 5 YEARS OF DATA.

** ACTUAL BREAKUP DATE FOR 2009
---------------------------------------------------------------------

                      SNOWMELT   FLOOD      AVERAGE  NO. OF  FORECAST
RIVER - REACH         RUNOFF     POTENTIAL  BREAKUP  YEARS   BREAKUP
                      VOLUME                DATE *   RECORD  DATE
-------------         ---------- ---------  -------  ------  --------
SOUTHEAST PANHANDLE     ABOVE

KENAI RIVER             BELOW

ANCHOR RIVER            BELOW

MATANUSKA RIVER        AVERAGE       

SUSITNA RIVER          AVERAGE        
  GOLD CREEK                        LOW   
  SUNSHINE                          LOW      05/03     19     5/04**

YENTNA RIVER           AVERAGE       
  LAKE CREEK                        LOW      04/30     18     4/30**

SKWENTNA RIVER         AVERAGE
  SKWENTNA                          LOW      04/30     15     4/30**

COPPER RIVER BASIN     AVERAGE                
  GAKONA RVR @ HWY                  LOW      04/30     23    ~4/30**
  GULKANA RVR @ HWY                 LOW      04/29     21    ~4/30**

CHENA RIVER            AVERAGE           
  CHENA LAKES PROJECT               LOW   
  FAIRBANKS                         LOW      04/25     23     4/30**

TANANA RIVER           AVERAGE
  NORTHWAY                          LOW      04/23     23     4/27**
  SALCHA                            LOW
  FAIRBANKS                         LOW      04/30     11     5/02**
  NENANA                            LOW      05/02     35     5/01**
  MANLEY                            LOW      05/03     17     5/03**

KUSKOKWIM RIVER         ABOVE 
  NIKOLAI                           LOW      04/23     24     4/25**
  MCGRATH                           LOW      05/07     35     5/04**
  STONY RIVER                       LOW      05/06     21     5/02**
  SLEETMUTE                         LOW      05/05     20     5/02**
  RED DEVIL                         LOW      05/06     23     5/03**
  CROOKED CREEK                     LOW      05/07     23     5/03**
  ANIAK                             LOW      05/07     26     5/03**
  KALSKAG                           LOW      05/07     20     5/07**
  TULUKSAK                          LOW      05/09     17     5/07**
  AKIAK                             LOW      05/10     23     5/08**
  KWETHLUK                          LOW
  BETHEL                            LOW      05/12     38     5/09**
  NAPAKIAK                          LOW      05/12     15     5/11**

YUKON RIVER (UPPER)     ABOVE
  DAWSON, YT                                 05/06     39     5/04**
  EAGLE                             LOW      05/05     29     5/03**
  CIRCLE                            LOW      05/09     27     5/06**
  FORT YUKON                        LOW      05/10     26     5/08**
  BEAVER                            LOW      05/11     14     5/09**
  STEVENS VILLAGE                   LOW      05/12     14     5/09**
  RAMPART                           LOW      05/13     15     5/10**

YUKON RIVER (MIDDLE)    ABOVE
  TANANA                            LOW      05/10     24     5/10**
  RUBY                              LOW      05/12     25     5/11**
  GALENA                            LOW      05/12     26     5/11**
  KOYUKUK                           LOW
  NULATO                            LOW      05/13     13     5/11**
  KALTAG                            LOW      05/14     33     5/12**
  ANVIK                             LOW      05/17     22     5/13**
 
YUKON RIVER (LOWER)     ABOVE
  HOLY CROSS                        LOW      05/16     22     5/13**
  RUSSIAN MISSION                   LOW      05/15     24     5/17**
  MARSHALL                          LOW
  PILOT STATION                     LOW      05/17     12     5/17**
  MOUNTAIN VILLAGE                  LOW      05/18     22     5/22**
  ALAKANUK/EMMONAK                  LOW      05/22     26     5/23**

KOYUKUK RIVER           ABOVE 
  BETTLES                           LOW      05/10     27     5/02**
  ALLAKAKET                         LOW      05/11     22     5/03**
  HUGHES                            LOW      05/11     21     5/04**
    
SEWARD PENINSULA        ABOVE           
  
BUCKLAND RIVER          ABOVE
  BUCKLAND                          LOW      05/18     18     5/13**
        
KOBUK RIVER             ABOVE                          
  KOBUK                             LOW      05/16     29     5/13**
  SHUNGNAK                          LOW      05/18     19     5/13**
  AMBLER                            LOW      05/18     26     5/16**

NOATAK RIVER            ABOVE
  NOATAK                            LOW      05/20     14     5/18**
    
BROOKS RANGE - NORTH    BELOW
  COLVILLE @ UMIAT                  LOW      05/25     11     5/18**
  COLVILLE @ COLVILLE               LOW      05/31     11     5/27**

FOR MORE DETAIL AND TO SEE A FLOOD POTENTIAL MAP REFER TO OUR WEB
SITE AT HTTP://APRFC.ARH.NOAA.GOV.  

THE IS THE LAST ISSUANCE OF THE SPRING BREAKUP SUMMARY FOR 2009.

$$
LAR

         

National Weather Service
Alaska-Pacific River Forecast Center
6930 Sand Lake Road
Anchorage, Ak 99502
907-266-5160

Page Modified: 29 Dec 2005 18:00 UTC
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